Monetary Policy Tracker
Track central bank decisions, rate paths, and forward guidance
Understanding Monetary Policy
Monetary policy refers to the actions central banks take to manage money supply and interest rates in an economy. When a central bank raises rates (a "hike"), borrowing becomes more expensive, which tends to slow economic activity and reduce inflation. When it cuts rates, borrowing becomes cheaper, stimulating spending and investment. A hold decision signals the bank believes current conditions are appropriate.
Rate Hike ▲
Tightens monetary conditions. Used to combat high inflation by making borrowing more costly.
Rate Cut ▼
Loosens monetary conditions. Used to boost a slowing economy by making credit more affordable.
Hold ●
No change to the policy rate. Signals the central bank sees current policy as appropriate.
Forward guidance communicates expected future policy actions, helping markets anticipate rate paths. Divergence between central banks (e.g., one hiking while another cuts) affects currency markets and capital flows.Learn more in our guide →
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Forward Guidance & Market Expectations
Federal Reserve
Data-dependent; signaling gradual easing through 2026
Market expects: 2-3 additional cuts expected in 2026
ECB
Continued easing as inflation settles near 2% target
Market expects: 2-3 cuts expected in 2026
Bank of Japan
Gradual normalization as wage-price cycle strengthens
Market expects: 1-2 additional hikes in 2026
Bank of England
Gradual approach to removing monetary restraint
Market expects: 2-3 cuts expected through 2026
PBoC
Accommodative stance to support recovery and counter trade tensions
Market expects: Further easing likely in 2026
Bank of Canada
Approaching neutral rate, pace of cuts to slow
Market expects: 1-2 cuts in 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia
Began easing cycle, watching labor market and inflation
Market expects: 2-3 additional cuts in 2026
Swiss National Bank
Near lower bound, monitoring franc strength
Market expects: Limited further easing room
Reserve Bank of India
Shifted to accommodative stance to support growth
Market expects: 1-2 additional cuts in 2026